Ligue 1 · Matchweek 14
Rennes
REN
Monaco
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rennes47%
Draw23%
Monaco30%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.61
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
70%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.9%
- 1–05.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monaco will have the ball; Rennes will not mind.
49%Possession59%
36%Territory49%
12%From set plays14%
0.18Chance quality0.07
4.5%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rennes, 3 for Monaco. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.