Ligue 1 · Matchweek 14
Rennes
REN
Monaco
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rennes43%
Draw24%
Monaco33%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.58
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rennes will have the ball; Monaco will not mind.
56%Possession41%
46%Territory42%
11%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rennes, 3 for Monaco. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.