Ligue 1 · Matchweek 14
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Paris FC
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSG59%
Draw23%
Paris FC18%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.02
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.8%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.7%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Paris FC will not mind.
67%Possession47%
46%Territory32%
25%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.13
5.4%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSG, 3 for Paris FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.