Ligue 1 · Matchweek 14
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Paris FC
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSG69%
Draw18%
Paris FC13%
Expected goals
2.42 – 1.02
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.5%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–17.9%
- 3–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Paris FC will not mind.
71%Possession47%
48%Territory31%
16%From set plays4%
0.16Chance quality0.14
4.5%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSG, 3 for Paris FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paris FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.