Ligue 1 · Matchweek 14
Nice
NIC
Lens
RCL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nice22%
Draw23%
Lens55%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.97
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 0–28.0%
- 1–36.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nice will have the ball; Lens will not mind.
61%Possession51%
39%Territory38%
26%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.12
3.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nice, 3 for Lens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.