Ligue 1 · Matchweek 14
Le Havre
LEH
Le Mans
LEM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Havre47%
Draw25%
Le Mans28%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.28
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Le Mans will have the ball; Le Havre will not mind.
43%Possession52%
38%Territory30%
25%From set plays47%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.2%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Havre, 3 for Le Mans. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Le Mans
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.