Ligue 1 · Matchweek 14
Angers
ANG
Strasbourg
STR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers25%
Draw26%
Strasbourg49%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.63
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–28.0%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Strasbourg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession48%
35%Territory35%
2%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.10
7.1%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for Strasbourg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.