Ligue 1 · Matchweek 14
Angers
ANG
Strasbourg
STR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers29%
Draw26%
Strasbourg45%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.65
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Angers get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession51%
33%Territory36%
34%From set plays10%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.9%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for Strasbourg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.