Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
Troyes
TRO
Lyon
OL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Troyes23%
Draw25%
Lyon52%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.75
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–28.5%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lyon will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
38%Possession55%
46%Territory38%
40%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Troyes, 3 for Lyon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.