Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
Troyes
TRO
Lyon
OL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Troyes25%
Draw30%
Lyon45%
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.32
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.1%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–011.6%
- 1–09.6%
- 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lyon will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
39%Possession48%
41%Territory40%
35%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.13
8.3%Directness2.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Troyes, 3 for Lyon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.