Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
Rennes
REN
Brest
BRS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rennes48%
Draw23%
Brest29%
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.57
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.7%
- 1–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession42%
36%Territory24%
12%From set plays20%
0.18Chance quality0.14
4.5%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rennes, 2 for Brest. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brest
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.