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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13

Monaco

MON

Angers

ANG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Monaco58%
Draw24%
Angers17%

Expected goals

1.76 – 0.87

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.2%
  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–010.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Monaco will have the ball; Angers will not mind.

59%Possession42%
49%Territory35%
14%From set plays2%
0.07Chance quality0.11
3.2%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Monaco, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.