Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
Monaco
MON
Angers
ANG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monaco56%
Draw24%
Angers19%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.8%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.9%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Angers get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
41%Possession46%
42%Territory33%
16%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Monaco, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.