Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
Lens
RCL
Le Havre
LEH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lens64%
Draw20%
Le Havre16%
Expected goals
2.16 – 1.01
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.8%
- 1–09.6%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lens will have the ball; Le Havre will not mind.
51%Possession43%
29%Territory38%
12%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.13
4.8%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lens, 3 for Le Havre. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lens
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.