Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Lorient
LOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSG65%
Draw21%
Lorient14%
Expected goals
2.07 – 0.90
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.3%
- 2–011.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Lorient will not mind.
67%Possession50%
46%Territory33%
25%From set plays5%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.4%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSG, 3 for Lorient. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.