Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
Nice
NIC
Troyes
TRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nice44%
Draw27%
Troyes29%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.17
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.3%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nice will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
50%Possession39%
34%Territory41%
26%From set plays35%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nice, 3 for Troyes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.