Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
Nice
NIC
Troyes
TRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nice41%
Draw26%
Troyes33%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.36
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nice will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
61%Possession38%
39%Territory46%
26%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.12
3.9%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nice, 3 for Troyes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.