Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
Brest
BRS
Paris FC
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brest39%
Draw26%
Paris FC34%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.42
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brest get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession47%
35%Territory32%
33%From set plays8%
0.11Chance quality0.13
8.3%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brest, 3 for Paris FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.