Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
Angers
ANG
Lens
RCL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers23%
Draw24%
Lens53%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.82
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–06.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession51%
33%Territory38%
34%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for Lens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.