Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
Angers
ANG
Lens
RCL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers20%
Draw27%
Lens54%
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.57
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.0%
- 1–111.9%
- 0–210.3%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–29.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lens will have the ball; Angers will not mind.
42%Possession51%
35%Territory29%
2%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.09
7.1%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for Lens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lens
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.