Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11

Troyes

TRO

Le Havre

LEH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Troyes40%
Draw28%
Le Havre33%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.27

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Le Havre will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.

38%Possession48%
46%Territory39%
40%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.7%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Troyes, 3 for Le Havre. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.