Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Strasbourg
STR
Brest
BRS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Strasbourg45%
Draw25%
Brest30%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.34
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–27.2%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession42%
35%Territory24%
31%From set plays20%
0.10Chance quality0.14
5.0%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Strasbourg, 2 for Brest. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brest
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.