Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Paris FC
PAR
Angers
ANG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Paris FC59%
Draw23%
Angers18%
Expected goals
1.85 – 0.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.9%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession42%
31%Territory35%
4%From set plays2%
0.14Chance quality0.11
3.3%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Paris FC, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paris FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.