Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Paris FC
PAR
Angers
ANG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Paris FC56%
Draw25%
Angers19%
Expected goals
1.71 – 0.93
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Angers get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession46%
32%Territory33%
8%From set plays34%
0.13Chance quality0.09
3.2%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Paris FC, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.