Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Nice
NIC
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nice16%
Draw20%
PSG65%
Expected goals
1.11 – 2.31
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.8%
- 0–28.9%
- 1–18.5%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–37.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Nice will not mind.
50%Possession71%
34%Territory48%
26%From set plays16%
0.13Chance quality0.16
5.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nice, 3 for PSG. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.