Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Monaco
MON
Auxerre
AUX
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monaco52%
Draw25%
Auxerre23%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.09
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monaco will have the ball; Auxerre will not mind.
59%Possession48%
49%Territory42%
14%From set plays16%
0.07Chance quality0.13
3.2%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Monaco, 3 for Auxerre. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Auxerre
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.