Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Lorient
LOR
Rennes
REN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lorient45%
Draw26%
Rennes29%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.28
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.3%
- 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession49%
36%Territory36%
42%From set plays12%
0.13Chance quality0.18
3.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lorient, 3 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lorient
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.