Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Lorient
LOR
Rennes
REN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lorient38%
Draw25%
Rennes37%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.57
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.2%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession56%
33%Territory46%
5%From set plays11%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lorient, 3 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.