Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Lorient
LOR
Rennes
REN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lorient43%
Draw26%
Rennes31%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.37
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–27.4%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lorient get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession49%
38%Territory36%
44%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.18
4.2%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lorient, 3 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lorient
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.