Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Lille
LIL
Lyon
OL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lille39%
Draw29%
Lyon32%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.19
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lyon will have the ball; Lille will not mind.
45%Possession55%
31%Territory38%
4%From set plays22%
0.13Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lille, 3 for Lyon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.