Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
Rennes
REN
Lille
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rennes35%
Draw26%
Lille40%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.61
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.9%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lille get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession55%
36%Territory36%
12%From set plays36%
0.18Chance quality0.14
4.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rennes, 3 for Lille. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.