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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10

Rennes

REN

Lille

LIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rennes38%
Draw26%
Lille37%

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.55

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.0%
  • 218.3%
  • 128.2%
  • 107.3%
  • 017.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rennes will have the ball; Lille will not mind.

56%Possession45%
46%Territory31%
11%From set plays4%
0.11Chance quality0.13
4.4%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rennes, 3 for Lille. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.