Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Troyes
TRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSG74%
Draw17%
Troyes9%
Expected goals
2.33 – 0.74
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.8%
- 1–011.4%
- 3–09.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
71%Possession39%
48%Territory41%
16%From set plays35%
0.16Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSG, 3 for Troyes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.