Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Troyes
TRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSG74%
Draw16%
Troyes10%
Expected goals
2.54 – 0.89
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.8%
- 3–08.7%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
67%Possession38%
46%Territory46%
25%From set plays40%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.4%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSG, 3 for Troyes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.