Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
Le Mans
LEM
Monaco
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Mans27%
Draw27%
Monaco46%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.50
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–08.3%
- 1–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Le Mans get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession59%
30%Territory49%
47%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.07
4.8%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Mans, 3 for Monaco. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Le Mans
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.