Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
Le Havre
LEH
Lorient
LOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Havre28%
Draw28%
Lorient44%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.42
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–112.0%
- 0–09.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession47%
38%Territory36%
25%From set plays42%
0.13Chance quality0.13
5.2%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Havre, 2 for Lorient. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lorient
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.