Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
Le Havre
LEH
Lorient
LOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Havre28%
Draw28%
Lorient44%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.42
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–112.0%
- 0–09.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lorient get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession47%
38%Territory37%
25%From set plays42%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Havre, 3 for Lorient. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lorient
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.