Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
Le Havre
LEH
Lorient
LOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Havre36%
Draw30%
Lorient35%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.20
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–110.7%
- 0–010.2%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Le Havre get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession50%
39%Territory33%
21%From set plays5%
0.09Chance quality0.12
7.3%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Havre, 3 for Lorient. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Le Havre
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.