Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
Brest
BRS
Lyon
OL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brest32%
Draw27%
Lyon41%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.47
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lyon will have the ball; Brest will not mind.
45%Possession55%
35%Territory38%
33%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.12
8.3%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brest, 3 for Lyon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.