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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10

Angers

ANG

Nice

NIC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Angers33%
Draw28%
Nice39%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.41

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nice get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

42%Possession50%
35%Territory34%
2%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.13
7.1%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for Nice. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.