Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9
Strasbourg
STR
Auxerre
AUX
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Strasbourg57%
Draw22%
Auxerre21%
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.20
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Strasbourg will have the ball; Auxerre will not mind.
51%Possession42%
36%Territory43%
10%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.11
4.2%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Strasbourg, 3 for Auxerre. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.