Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9
Lyon
OL
Angers
ANG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lyon61%
Draw24%
Angers15%
Expected goals
1.77 – 0.79
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 2–012.0%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lyon will have the ball; Angers will not mind.
55%Possession46%
38%Territory33%
22%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.3%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lyon, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.