Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9
Lorient
LOR
Brest
BRS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lorient39%
Draw27%
Brest34%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.38
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brest get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession45%
33%Territory35%
5%From set plays33%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lorient, 3 for Brest. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.