Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9
Le Havre
LEH
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Havre19%
Draw25%
PSG57%
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.72
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.0%
- 1–111.3%
- 0–210.4%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Le Havre will not mind.
48%Possession67%
39%Territory46%
21%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.08
7.3%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Havre, 3 for PSG. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Le Havre
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.