Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Lyon
OL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSG50%
Draw26%
Lyon23%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.05
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–011.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Lyon will not mind.
67%Possession55%
46%Territory38%
25%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.4%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSG, 3 for Lyon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.