Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8
Toulouse
TFC
Troyes
TRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Toulouse56%
Draw23%
Troyes21%
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.18
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–08.2%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Toulouse will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
54%Possession38%
43%Territory46%
20%From set plays40%
0.15Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Toulouse, 3 for Troyes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Toulouse
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.