Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8
Brest
BRS
Nice
NIC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brest56%
Draw24%
Nice21%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.09
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.0%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nice will have the ball; Brest will not mind.
45%Possession61%
35%Territory39%
33%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.09
8.3%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brest, 3 for Nice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.