Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8
Angers
ANG
Lorient
LOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers33%
Draw29%
Lorient37%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.27
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Angers get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession50%
33%Territory33%
34%From set plays5%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.9%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for Lorient. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.