Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
Paris FC
PAR
Rennes
REN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Paris FC45%
Draw24%
Rennes30%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.46
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–07.4%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rennes will have the ball; Paris FC will not mind.
47%Possession56%
32%Territory46%
8%From set plays11%
0.13Chance quality0.11
3.2%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Paris FC, 3 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.