Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
Lorient
LOR
Monaco
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lorient36%
Draw27%
Monaco37%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.43
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–18.7%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lorient will have the ball; Monaco will not mind.
50%Possession41%
33%Territory42%
5%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lorient, 3 for Monaco. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.