Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
Le Mans
LEM
Toulouse
TFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Mans36%
Draw25%
Toulouse38%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.61
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.1%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Toulouse will have the ball; Le Mans will not mind.
43%Possession54%
29%Territory43%
6%From set plays20%
0.21Chance quality0.15
7.4%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Mans, 3 for Toulouse. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.