Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
Angers
ANG
Marseille
OM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers30%
Draw26%
Marseille44%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.60
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–07.4%
- 2–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Marseille will have the ball; Angers will not mind.
46%Possession59%
33%Territory47%
34%From set plays7%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.9%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for Marseille. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.