Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6
Troyes
TRO
Marseille
OM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Troyes31%
Draw24%
Marseille46%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.88
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.8%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.1%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Marseille will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
38%Possession59%
46%Territory47%
40%From set plays7%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Troyes, 3 for Marseille. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.