Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6
Nice
NIC
Strasbourg
STR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nice28%
Draw24%
Strasbourg47%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.79
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–16.9%
- 0–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nice will have the ball; Strasbourg will not mind.
61%Possession51%
39%Territory36%
26%From set plays10%
0.09Chance quality0.12
3.9%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nice, 3 for Strasbourg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.