Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6
Brest
BRS
Angers
ANG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brest53%
Draw25%
Angers22%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.04
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.4%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession46%
35%Territory33%
33%From set plays34%
0.11Chance quality0.09
8.3%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brest, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.