Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
Nice
NIC
Lille
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nice24%
Draw26%
Lille50%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.60
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–111.8%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–28.8%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nice will have the ball; Lille will not mind.
61%Possession45%
39%Territory31%
26%From set plays4%
0.09Chance quality0.13
3.9%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nice, 3 for Lille. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.