Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
Monaco
MON
Lens
RCL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monaco37%
Draw25%
Lens39%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.70
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–18.0%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lens will have the ball; Monaco will not mind.
41%Possession51%
42%Territory38%
16%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Monaco, 3 for Lens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.