Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
Angers
ANG
Troyes
TRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers42%
Draw27%
Troyes31%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.25
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Angers will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
46%Possession38%
33%Territory46%
34%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.9%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for Troyes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.