Ligue 1 · Matchweek 23
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Rennes
REN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSG71%
Draw16%
Rennes14%
Expected goals
2.88 – 1.30
Over 2.5
78%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.4%
- 3–18.0%
- 2–06.7%
- 3–06.0%
- 1–15.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Rennes will not mind.
71%Possession49%
48%Territory36%
16%From set plays12%
0.16Chance quality0.18
4.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSG, 3 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.