Premier League · Matchweek 24
Sunderland
SUN
Aston Villa
AVL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland32%
Draw28%
Aston Villa39%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.36
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–08.8%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sunderland get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession44%
34%Territory32%
51%From set plays22%
0.06Chance quality0.10
5.1%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sunderland, 3 for Aston Villa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.