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Premier League · Matchweek 24

Ipswich Town

IPS

Tottenham Hotspur

TOT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ipswich26%
Draw27%
Tottenham47%

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.56

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–111.3%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–28.1%
  • 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tottenham will have the ball; Ipswich will not mind.

47%Possession71%
35%Territory52%
21%From set plays29%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.8%Directness2.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ipswich, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.