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Premier League · Matchweek 24

Crystal Palace

CRY

Coventry City

COV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Crystal Palace43%
Draw28%
Coventry29%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.18

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Crystal Palace get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

39%Possession37%
27%Territory39%
61%From set plays29%
0.11Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness8.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crystal Palace, 4 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Crystal Palace

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.