Premier League · Matchweek 23
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Sunderland
SUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tottenham57%
Draw26%
Sunderland17%
Expected goals
1.59 – 0.77
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.5%
- 2–011.6%
- 1–111.5%
- 0–010.3%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham will have the ball; Sunderland will not mind.
71%Possession47%
52%Territory34%
29%From set plays51%
0.07Chance quality0.06
2.6%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Sunderland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.