Premier League · Matchweek 23
Liverpool
LIV
Everton
EVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Liverpool57%
Draw25%
Everton18%
Expected goals
1.67 – 0.85
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.0%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–011.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession45%
48%Territory43%
16%From set plays35%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.4%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Liverpool, 2 for Everton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.